The Mechanics of War :: War Statistics Papers

The Mechanics of WarRecently a new drift has taken up Wall Street. Savvy broker firms have know that the market is probably controlled by round rules, and those rules have to be represent to make more money with the least risk. They hired many mathematicians to go to for any formulas that would seem to express the market. Those analyzed previous market trends and utilize laws of statistics to try to predict the future of the market. The funny thing is that at quantify this approach actually worked. It yielded a slightly more than fifty portion accuracy, and that was enough. (When dealing with tremendous steps, tear d have a small percentage is non meager.) Statistics work for e reallything when there is a lot of it. They work for money, molecules, atoms, star systems, and even people. People tend to adhere to statistics when there is a fair amount of people to stifle the occasional fluctuations in human behavior. Many things we do depend on statistics. Take war for exampl e. War is a very good example, since the outcome depends more on the general strategy of the completely war, than on individual soldiers. It follows definite rules that can be expressed in formulas. The individual people in war tend to become statistics, in the eyes of the high command, the public, as well as in their own perception. Tim OBrien wonderfully illustrates this in his essay How to Tell a trustworthy War Story. He relates that there is no dose to any events or actions according to the perception of the soldier during a war. You smile and think, ... whats the point? (469) he says. A person then becomes nothing more than a statistic -- a part of a whole behaving in a ergodic way. If there is no point to existence, then his actions are very random. Something truly random can be easily studied, stimulated, expressed in some numbers, percentages, probabilities. This randomness of the soldier is what the whole military apparatus depends on. Consider if the demeanor of a s oldier during war had a point, if he realized that there is some underlying meaning, wouldnt he strive toward the goal charge by that meaning? He would, for that is in human nature. Now, if there was no meaning in his perception, he could easily be persuaded that a particular proposition thing must be done. He will obediently follow.